The Real Nature of Politics and Politicians

America's System Works,

But Not Why You Think!

By Michael I. Rothfeld

Political Consultant

Few of the lectures I give on political technology and campaigning make people as agitated as this one.

None is more important.

Simply put, politics is not about the common good, appealing to men's better angels, nor serving our Lord. These may be your motivations. Occasionally, they will be a politician's motivation. Politics is the adjudication of power. It is the process by which people everywhere determine who rules whom.

In America, through a brilliant system of rewards and punishments, checks and balances, and diffusion of authority, we have acquired a habit and history of politics mostly without violence and excessive corruption.

The good news for you and me is that the system works.

The bad news is it is hard, and sometimes dirty work, for us to succeed in enacting policy.

There is absolutely no reason for you to spend your time, talent, and money in politics except for this: if you do not, laws will be written and regulations enforced by folks with little or no interest in your well-being.

The following pages may challenge everything you thought you knew about politics, and everything you have been told about politics from your high school civics teacher to the lead editorial writer in your local paper to the political "expert" at a respected organization.

But if you will read carefully and understand, you will become capable of leading a successful fight for your values.

Politicians, Not Education and Not Public Opinion. Make Policy

The first mistake most folks make when they set out on a good-faith crusade to do good is to completely misunderstand their targets.

Sometimes, activists make the local newspaper or media the target. The thinking goes, "If we can just get them to understand the problem, things will change." It is fortunate that this is not correct, because the media in the U.S. is overwhelmingly committed to big government, gun control, and the supremacy of state-controlled education over parent-controlled education.

The fact is newspapers cast no votes. Dan Rather controls no elections. If this were not true, Ronald Reagan would never have been President.

An even more common mistake is to believe that the key to victory is education.

The "education is the key to political victory" theory goes that if we educate people as to the problem and the solution, then the elected officials will fall in line. Wrong.

Polls show huge majorities of Americans in favor of parental notification before a minor has an abortion. Yet the mere mention of the issue drives most politicians in fits of terror. Similarly, three-quarters of the American people oppose forced-unionism and favor Right to Work laws; however, such laws exist in only 21 states.

It is important to understand the two reasons why the education theory of politics is a mistake.

First, the theory assumes no opposing "education" effort. This is rarely the case.

Polls showed a majority in California in favor of education choice, yet the 1992 School Voucher Referendum lost 2-1 on election day. Why? Because the NEA-teachers' unions and pro-public-school-monopoly forces out-organized school choice forces, had a more focused message, and spent a lot more money.

The second, and more important, reason the "education is the key" theory fails lies in the nature of politics and politicians.

Policy in the Margins or Why Grass-Roots Politics Works

What follows is a generalized breakdown of voting in any given election:

People

Percent for Victory

100%, all people 50%, plus 1
70% eligible to vote (excludes aliens, felons, and minors) 35%, plus 1
40% registered to vote (approximately 60% of eligible) 20%, plus 1
20% vote on election day (50% of registered voters) 10%, plus 1
7% almost always vote Republican
7% almost always vote Democrat
6% swing votes 3%, plus1

Three percent of the populations plus one voter. Here is where politicians live and die.

In some local and state elections where turnout may be only 20 percent of registered voters, the margin may be far less than three percent plus one.

The average politician lives in constant fear of alienating any substantial portion of this three percent plus one voters he needs in a hotly contested race to win re-election, or to gain higher office. What is the best way not to alienate these voters? Do nothing to make them mad, which almost always means ... do nothing. This is why even when new politicians are elected, little seems to change. Inertia--or the status quo -- is the most potent force in politics. However by mobilizing and directing voters rallying around a specific issue, you can change the political environment for a politician, or even a group of politicians. One relatively small group can make it more costly for the politician not to act than it is for him or her to act as you want him to.

This is what I mean when I say that policy is made at the margins.

This is also why the homosexual lobby, labor unions, and organized groups so often get legislation they want. They have groups of voters , who can, and will, vote on their issue alone.

By becoming a grass-roots leader, you can, too.

That's where the fun, and the danger, begins.

How Politicians React to Pressure

In a perfect world, you would mobilize, the politician would immediately agree to do everything you want, the policy would be changed, and we would all live happily ever after.

Of course, it rarely happens that way.

When a provision harmful to home-schooling Parents was located in the 1994 Education Bill (HR6), Mike Farris' Home School Legal Defense Association directed some one million calls and letters to Congress in a three-week period. The amendment to strip out the offending language passed the U.S House of Representatives 434 to 1. Another amendment by Representative Richard Armey (R-TX) to positively protect home schoolers passed 374-53.

It was a rout.

The rout occurred not just because the home school community was so mobilized (though they were) but because they were mobilized for a very specific purpose, to which there was virtually no organized opposition.

It was an easy decision for members of the House of Representatives.

This is not the case for controversial issues. It is certainly not true for any legislation relating to the right to keep and bear arms. So how will a politician react to your organized pressure when he knows there is, or is certain to be, organized pressure against your position?

The first thing the politician will do is try to make you go away without giving you anything of substance. If he gives you anything of substance, then those organized on the other side will be mad.

So most politicians will try to make you quit by intimidation, explanation, or buying you off.

Many politicians -- especially those used to being treated like royalty rather than public servants -- may try to threaten and intimidate you. Statements such as, "If you ever try something like this again, I'll vote against you for sure," or "I'll tell the newspaper you're a trouble-maker" are not uncommon. A rudely spoken, "I don't know who you think you are, but that's not how we do things here" followed by a slammed-down phone receiver is another favorite.

Remember, you are not running for office. The politician is. Then remember the three percent plus one voter margin, and double your efforts to mobilize.

Before long, even this politician will go to a new tactic.

Most likely, a politician (whether or not intimidation is attempted) will seek to placate you by "explaining" what he or she calls "the political reality." Sometimes the explanation may be made by a surrogate for the politician; in many cases the surrogate will be well known as an advocate for your issues.

The message usually takes the basic form of, "I've been doing this for nearly thirty years and believe me, I share your concerns but we just can't pass that bill right now," or "Even if we could pass what your people want, the Governor (or President or a judge) will kill it," or "It's the best we could do.

First of all, so what? Rome was not built in a day, nor is major policy passed overnight. Sometimes it may take years.

Policy is changed one vote -- one politician--at a time.

Second of all, the reason this is often true is that politicians succeed in ducking difficult votes, thus preventing voters from ever knowing exactly where they stand.

Your job as a grassroots leader is to convey to the politician your supporters' insistence on his or her personal, public and on-the-record support for your position.

Of course, you do want to pass your legislation (or defeat your opponent's legislation), but first and foremost, you want the politician's complete public support. As an aside, a commitment in writing is better than a verbal commitment, and a vote on the full bill (not just some piece) is better than a written commitment.

Private promises are worthless.

When you have insisted on the politician's support for your position, they will then try to buy you off. Here is where most grassroots leaders fail.

Power and Influence and Selling Out

Politics can be seductive. The chance to rub elbows with elected officials, being looked up to by people in your community as someone in the know, invitations to and recognition at special events, being quoted in the media, helping to write "acceptable" compromise legislation, or even an appointment to some committee or task force--all this could be yours if you become a grassroots leader. These are the trinkets for which leaders sell our their political agenda.

Of course, most everyone thinks he is strong enough, smart enough, and committed enough not to sell out. Few people are.

Before long, instead of delivering to the politician the grassroots' message to pass legislation, you become the politician's representative, telling your people what they must settle for.

Right now, today, decide whether you want influence or power.

Influence is calling a politician and having him take your call. He listens to what you want, and may or may not do it. It is what most grassroots leaders end up settling for.

Power is the ability to tell a politician what you want, and either get it or get a new politician at the next election.

Again I urge you to remember the three percent plus one voter. You and your grassroots group may be able to single-handedly bring the politician down. Or perhaps you will be one of a handful of groups organizing at the next election.

No matter what, you will make it harder for the politician to win re-election, costing him extra time and money.

If the politician loses, every other elected official will fear you and your group. If the politician wins, he will remember the extra pain you caused him. And he will know you can do it again, or worse. When you return to continue fighting for what you believe in, you will find him and his colleagues more gracious and more willing.

As the late Everett Dirksen said, "When I feel the heat, I see the light."

Winning in the End

There is a great deal more I could tell you.

* How to recruit for your grassroots organization.
* How best to communicate with politicians.
* The differences between offensive and defensive legislative strategies.
* Choosing a leader who is an elected official (Hint: Be very careful).
* When and how to use the media.

But what I would like to close with is the importance of taking a long-term approach to restoring your dangerously eroded Second Amendment rights.

If you remember from the beginning of this article, I said the good news is that the system works.

I hope by now you see what I mean. Namely, that politicians are still subservient to the people who elect them ... to you and me.

However, most of the time, a fight really to make a difference may take years. This is especially true the farther from local politics you go.

It's true Mike Farris won the battle for home schoolers in the U.S. Congress in just a few weeks as described above. But Mike Farris spent years building an organization of homeschoolers. More importantly, as I noted, there was little or no opposition to the mobilized home schooling force. You can be sure if the fight were for a tax credit for homeschooling, the result would be different.

When you first start out, expect not to be taken seriously, especially if you insist upon principle and refuse to compromise or to be bought off

The key will be for you and your grassroots activists to aggressively make politicians pay a price for their failure to pay attention to their constituents (you and your group). Every year, every session of the legislature, you must return pushing for your principles.

At the same time, you should be continually recruiting more members and expanding the areas in which you are active.

By doing this, you will win.